market-sizing-analysis – Data & Science skill for AI agents
Calculate TAM/SAM/SOM for market opportunities using top-down, bottom-up, and value theory methodologies. Use this skill when sizing markets, estimating addressable revenue, validating market opportunity for a new venture, or building investor-ready market analysis for a startup pitch or business plan.
Install the market-sizing-analysis skill with one command
Pick the tool you use, copy the command and paste it in your terminal. The skill lands in that tool's skills folder and is ready in your next session.
Claude Code
mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills && curl -fsSL https://skill.dn1nguoi.com/z/market-sizing-analysis-343bb.tgz | tar xz -C ~/.claude/skills
Call it in Claude Code: /market-sizing-analysis – then describe the task you want done.
Codex
mkdir -p ~/.codex/skills && curl -fsSL https://skill.dn1nguoi.com/z/market-sizing-analysis-343bb.tgz | tar xz -C ~/.codex/skills
Call it in Codex: $market-sizing-analysis – then describe the task you want done.
Hermes Agent
mkdir -p ~/.hermes/skills && curl -fsSL https://skill.dn1nguoi.com/z/market-sizing-analysis-343bb.tgz | tar xz -C ~/.hermes/skills
Call it in Hermes Agent: /market-sizing-analysis – then describe the task you want done.
DeepSeek
mkdir -p ~/.deepcode/skills && curl -fsSL https://skill.dn1nguoi.com/z/market-sizing-analysis-343bb.tgz | tar xz -C ~/.deepcode/skills
Call it in DeepSeek: /market-sizing-analysis – then describe the task you want done.
SKILL.md content
Market Sizing Analysis
Comprehensive market sizing methodologies for calculating Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) for startup opportunities.
Overview
Market sizing provides the foundation for startup strategy, fundraising, and business planning. Calculate market opportunity using three complementary methodologies: top-down (industry reports), bottom-up (customer segment calculations), and value theory (willingness to pay).
Core Concepts
The Three-Tier Market Framework
TAM (Total Addressable Market)
- Total revenue opportunity if achieving 100% market share
- Defines the universe of potential customers
- Used for long-term vision and market validation
- Example: All email marketing software revenue globally
SAM (Serviceable Available Market)
- Portion of TAM targetable with current product/service
- Accounts for geographic, segment, or capability constraints
- Represents realistic addressable opportunity
- Example: AI-powered email marketing for e-commerce in North America
SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market)
- Realistic market share achievable in 3-5 years
- Accounts for competition, resources, and market dynamics
- Used for financial projections and fundraising
- Example: 2-5% of SAM based on competitive landscape
When to Use Each Methodology
Top-Down Analysis
- Use when established market research exists
- Best for mature, well-defined markets
- Validates market existence and growth
- Starts with industry reports and narrows down
Bottom-Up Analysis
- Use when targeting specific customer segments
- Best for new or niche markets
- Most credible for investors
- Builds from customer data and pricing
Value Theory
- Use when creating new market categories
- Best for disruptive innovations
- Estimates based on value creation
- Calculates willingness to pay for problem solution
Detailed patterns and worked examples
Detailed pattern documentation lives in references/details.md. Read that file when the navigation tier above is insufficient.
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